Overview / Science and Technology / Contract detail
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027
Closes in 175d·Aispike
29¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
30¢crowd cost basis
-1¢distance from crowd basis
12.91×vol vs peers
51524h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Science and Technology cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
12.91×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0466Category median logit vol/hr
30¢Crowd cost basis
99%Cost-basis conviction
4Similar category unusual moves
75%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 99% · profiled volume 531 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Science and Technology reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
BUILDING SAMPLE · n=44unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
75%partial reversion rate
113%avg move given back