LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Guides

Educational guides to the metrics and mechanics behind Logit Terminal.

Logit Space and Prediction Markets

Why prediction market analytics work better in log-odds: bounded prices, unequal cent moves, and how Logit Terminal measures probability movement.

Prediction Market Calibration

What calibration means for prediction markets, why sample size matters, and how Logit Terminal handles low-sample buckets and pinned prices.

Volatility in Prediction Markets

How volatility works in probability markets, why event phase matters, and what Vol vs Peers means on Logit Terminal.

Crowd Cost Basis

How volume-at-price profiles approximate where prediction market contracts changed hands, and what distance from crowd basis means.

Mean Reversion in Prediction Markets

How Logit Terminal measures whether unusual probability moves historically gave back part of the move, and why terminal moves are excluded.

How to Read Prediction Market Odds

Prediction market prices as implied probabilities: bid, ask, spread, volume, open interest, and event lifecycle explained.

Volume and Open Interest in Prediction Markets

The difference between volume and open interest, why liquidity matters, and how Logit Terminal uses both in confidence labels.

Also see the metric quick reference and methodology.