LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Overview / Financials / Contract detail

Will Celsius advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final

Settles Jul 19, 12AM ET

32¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
35¢crowd cost basis
-2¢distance from crowd basis
15.26×vol vs peers
5,98324h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Financials cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

15.26×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0701Category median logit vol/hr
35¢Crowd cost basis
83%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~6h ago~3h agolatestCrowd basis 35¢~6h before latest: 30.0¢~5h before latest: 30.0¢~4h before latest: 30.0¢~3h before latest: 30.0¢~2h before latest: 16.0¢~1h before latest: 35.0¢latest: 32.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 83% · profiled volume 6,397 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01,2572,5143,7705,0270¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 1,102 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ current price bucket: 268 contracts35¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 5,027 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.