Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points?
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
81¢current price
+12.00σoverextension z · high
80¢crowd cost basis
+1¢distance from crowd basis
4.43×vol vs peers
204,96524h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
4.43×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0522Category median logit vol/hr
80¢Crowd cost basis
70%Cost-basis conviction
262Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 70% · profiled volume 169,723 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
262unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
9%avg move given back